Malacateco 3-1 Antigua GFC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.47
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
35%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.75
Over 2.5
51%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+2.7pp
26%
Draw
29%
-2.8pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+0.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
53%
-4.5pp
51%
Over 2.5
47%
+4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Malacateco EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 38%
+12% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -12%
1.74/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.72/1.12
+52% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / -2%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
272 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Malacateco
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Antigua GFC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
10.04.2025 Malacateco Malacateco 1-1 HT 0-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
06.02.2025 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 2-3 HT 1-2 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
15.09.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-1 HT 2-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
23.03.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 2-2 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
02.11.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 4-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
26.04.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 1-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Malacateco
3-1
AWAY Antigua GFC
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Malacateco vs Antigua GFC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco saw off Antigua GFC 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Malacateco found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Malacateco had 44% of the ball to Antigua GFC's 56%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Malacateco and 2.33 for Antigua GFC.

What was the final score of Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?

Malacateco 3-1 Antigua GFC in the Guatemala - National League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Malacateco vs Antigua GFC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Malacateco win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Malacateco 39%, draw 26%, Antigua GFC 35%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Malacateco), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Malacateco) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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