Municipal 3-0 Marquense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 21 Sep 2025

📅21/09/2025 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
72%
1.3
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
10%
8.19
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.9
Over 2.5
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.4
No
59%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
38%
1/2
3%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
3%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
72%
Home Win
72%
-0.1pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.7pp
10%
Away Win
9%
+0.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.4pp
41%
BTTS Yes
38%
+4.0pp
59%
BTTS No
62%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Municipal EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Marquense EU Bookmakers 12%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -3%
2.17/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/1.74
+14% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
420 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Municipal
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Marquense
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
12.05.2025 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
09.05.2025 Marquense Marquense 1-1 HT 1-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
24.04.2025 Municipal Municipal 0-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
24.02.2025 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
02.11.2024 Municipal Municipal 2-0 HT 1-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
19.08.2024 Marquense Marquense 0-0 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Municipal
3-0
AWAY Marquense
60% Ball Possession 40%
20 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Municipal vs Marquense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal cruised past Marquense 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Municipal had 60% of the ball to Marquense's 40%, shots finished 20-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Municipal and 0.17 for Marquense.

What was the final score of Municipal vs Marquense?

Municipal 3-0 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 21/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Municipal vs Marquense?

Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Municipal 72%, draw 18%, Marquense 10%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Municipal) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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