Municipal vs Marquense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Municipal v Marquense — Team-Based Signals
Municipal vs Marquense Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
Municipal 1-0 Marquense — Actual Match Statistics
Municipal nicked a narrow win over Marquense 1-0.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Municipal as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Municipal had 61% of the ball to Marquense's 39%, shots finished 14-7.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Municipal had the better of it with 1 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.60 goals for Municipal and 0.20 for Marquense.
What was the final score of Municipal vs Marquense?
Municipal 1-0 Marquense in the Guatemala - National League on 12/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Municipal vs Marquense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Municipal win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Municipal 62%, draw 20%, Marquense 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Municipal), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.