Antigua GFC 2-3 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
21%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.88
No
51%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.1pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.9pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+2.2pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.3pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
-0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Antigua GFC EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 22%
-2% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -8%
1.82/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.49
+9% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -9%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
355 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Antigua GFC
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Malacateco
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
15.09.2024 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 3-1 HT 2-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
23.03.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 2-2 HT 1-1 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
02.11.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 4-2 HT 1-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
26.04.2023 Malacateco Malacateco 1-2 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
22.01.2023 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC 0-1 HT 0-1 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
16.11.2022 Malacateco Malacateco 2-1 HT 1-0 Antigua GFC Antigua GFC GUAT
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Antigua GFC
2-3
AWAY Malacateco
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
13 Corners 2
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Antigua GFC vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco nicked a narrow win over Antigua GFC 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Antigua GFC at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Antigua GFC had 63% of the ball to Malacateco's 37%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Antigua GFC had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Antigua GFC and 1.50 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?

Antigua GFC 2-3 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Antigua GFC vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Antigua GFC win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Antigua GFC 54%, draw 25%, Malacateco 21%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Antigua GFC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Antigua GFC) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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