Guastatoya 1-0 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒01:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
20%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.71
Over 2.5
42%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.96
No
53%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-0.7pp
28%
Draw
26%
+1.5pp
20%
Away Win
21%
-0.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
55%
+3.8pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-3.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.6pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 24%
-2% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.73/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.29
+2% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
361 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Achuapa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
03.03.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
05.02.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
24.09.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.08.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-3 HT 0-2 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
16.04.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 3-2 HT 2-2 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya squeezed past Achuapa 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Guastatoya as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Guastatoya and 1.33 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Achuapa?

Guastatoya 1-0 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 52%, draw 28%, Achuapa 20%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Guastatoya), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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