Guastatoya 1-1 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 3 Mar 2024

Guastatoya
1-1 HT 1-0
Achuapa
📅03/03/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✓
Guatemala - National League – 2023/2024

Guastatoya vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
20%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
58%
-1.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.6pp
20%
Away Win
17%
+3.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-5.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+5.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guastatoya v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 20%
-3% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +15%
1.93/0.58 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.70
+7% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
366 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.5

Guastatoya vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Achuapa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.02.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
24.09.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.08.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-3 HT 0-2 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
16.04.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 3-2 HT 2-2 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
19.02.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-0 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
16.11.2022 Guastatoya Guastatoya 2-0 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya and Achuapa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Guastatoya carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guastatoya had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Guastatoya and 1.00 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Achuapa?

Guastatoya 1-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 57%, draw 23%, Achuapa 20%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guastatoya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GUAT More Guatemala - National League
3 Mar 2024
00:00 Mixco vs Municipal Analysis →
03:00 CSD Comunicaciones vs Coatepeque Analysis →
05:00 Xelaju MC vs Coban Imperial Analysis →