Mixco 3-1 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.16
No
60%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
18%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
30%
-4.0pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-1.3pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-0.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+0.9pp
40%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.4pp
60%
BTTS No
58%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mixco EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 42%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +0%
1.09/1.46 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.77
-13% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +64% / +40%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
236 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mixco
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Municipal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
42% Ball Possession 58%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Municipal Municipal 0-3 HT 0-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
24.09.2023 Mixco Mixco 0-3 HT 0-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.08.2023 Municipal Municipal 3-1 HT 1-1 Mixco Mixco GUAT
02.04.2023 Mixco Mixco 3-1 HT 2-1 Municipal Municipal GUAT
05.02.2023 Municipal Municipal 2-2 HT 1-2 Mixco Mixco GUAT
13.11.2022 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 1-0 Mixco Mixco GUAT
POST-MATCH Mixco vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mixco beat Municipal 3-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and on the day Mixco made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Mixco and 1.67 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Mixco vs Municipal?

Mixco 3-1 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mixco vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mixco win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Mixco 37%, draw 26%, Municipal 37%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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