Guastatoya 1-1 Achuapa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Sep 2024

Guastatoya
1-1 HT 0-0
Achuapa
📅29/09/2024 · 🕒23:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Guatemala - National League – 2025/2026

Guastatoya vs Achuapa Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
27%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.54
Over 2.5
43%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
54%
-9.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+8.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
61%
-4.1pp
43%
Over 2.5
39%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.0pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Guastatoya v Achuapa — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Achuapa EU Bookmakers 21%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +6%
1.62/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.29
+1% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +5%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
363 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3.4 Yellow Cards 1.7

Guastatoya vs Achuapa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Guastatoya
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Achuapa
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
6 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
03.03.2024 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-1 HT 1-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
05.02.2024 Achuapa Achuapa 0-1 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
24.09.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-2 HT 0-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
20.08.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 1-3 HT 0-2 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
16.04.2023 Achuapa Achuapa 3-2 HT 2-2 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
19.02.2023 Guastatoya Guastatoya 3-0 HT 2-0 Achuapa Achuapa GUAT
POST-MATCH Guastatoya vs Achuapa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya and Achuapa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Guastatoya at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Guastatoya had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Guastatoya and 1.17 for Achuapa.

What was the final score of Guastatoya vs Achuapa?

Guastatoya 1-1 Achuapa in the Guatemala - National League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Guastatoya vs Achuapa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Guastatoya win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Guastatoya 45%, draw 28%, Achuapa 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Guastatoya), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Guastatoya) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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