Zacapa Tellioz 0-1 Malacateco — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 29 Sep 2024

📅29/09/2024 · 🕒05:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.96
Draw
24%
3.11
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.09
No
59%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
15%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
47%
-4.2pp
24%
Draw
29%
-4.7pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.9pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.2pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.3pp
59%
BTTS No
56%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zacapa Tellioz EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Malacateco EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -9%
0.99/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.45
-23% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
4.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zacapa Tellioz
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Malacateco
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
22.04.2024 Malacateco Malacateco 2-1 HT 0-1 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz GUAT
27.11.2023 Zacapa Tellioz Zacapa Tellioz 4-0 HT 3-0 Malacateco Malacateco GUAT
POST-MATCH Zacapa Tellioz vs Malacateco
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Malacateco squeezed past Zacapa Tellioz 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Zacapa Tellioz at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Zacapa Tellioz and 1.00 for Malacateco.

What was the final score of Zacapa Tellioz vs Malacateco?

Zacapa Tellioz 0-1 Malacateco in the Guatemala - National League on 29/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zacapa Tellioz vs Malacateco?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zacapa Tellioz win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Zacapa Tellioz 43%, draw 24%, Malacateco 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zacapa Tellioz) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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