Xinabajul 0-2 Municipal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 6 Feb 2025

📅06/02/2025 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
27%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.68
Over 2.5
47%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.85
No
51%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
36%
+9.9pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.0pp
27%
Away Win
36%
-8.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
56%
-2.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
44%
+2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
50%
-0.6pp
51%
BTTS No
50%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Xinabajul EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Municipal EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -6%
1.42/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.23
+21% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -7%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
261 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 382 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Xinabajul
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Municipal
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 5
03.10.2024 Municipal Municipal 4-3 HT 3-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
13.04.2024 Municipal Municipal 1-0 HT 0-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
06.11.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-2 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
17.04.2023 Xinabajul Xinabajul 1-2 HT 1-2 Municipal Municipal GUAT
19.02.2023 Municipal Municipal 3-0 HT 1-0 Xinabajul Xinabajul GUAT
27.11.2022 Xinabajul Xinabajul 0-1 HT 0-0 Municipal Municipal GUAT
POST-MATCH Xinabajul vs Municipal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Municipal got the better of Xinabajul 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Xinabajul at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Municipal led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Xinabajul and 2.17 for Municipal.

What was the final score of Xinabajul vs Municipal?

Xinabajul 0-2 Municipal in the Guatemala - National League on 06/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Xinabajul vs Municipal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Xinabajul win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Xinabajul 46%, draw 27%, Municipal 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Xinabajul) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Xinabajul) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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