Espanyol 2-1 Real Oviedo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 May 2024

Espanyol
2-1 HT 1-1
Real Oviedo
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Spain - 2nd Division – 2023/2024

Espanyol vs Real Oviedo Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.05
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
29%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
36%
2.73
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.29
6+ Goals
8%
21.45
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.73 — our 36% vs market 30.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.91
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
12.85
X/1
17%
4.59
X/2
13%
7.3
X/X
16%
3.92
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
10%
5.66
2/X
6%
13.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
45%
-3.2pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
29%
Away Win
26%
+3.3pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.0pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Espanyol v Real Oviedo — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Espanyol EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Oviedo EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +15%
1.66/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.16
+14% / +54% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +13%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 292 · 75%
20.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.9
20.0 Crosses 17.8
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.5

Espanyol vs Real Oviedo Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Espanyol
2W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.01 xG 0.81
49% Ball Possession 51%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
290 Passes 324
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
10 Box Touches 17
15 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
01.12.2023 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-0 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
05.03.2021 Espanyol Espanyol 1-1 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS2
27.09.2020 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 0-2 HT 0-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS2
11.03.2001 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo 2-2 HT 1-0 Espanyol Espanyol İS1
29.10.2000 Espanyol Espanyol 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Oviedo Real Oviedo İS1

Espanyol 2-1 Real Oviedo — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Espanyol
2-1
AWAY Real Oviedo
1.47 xG 0.89
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
235 Passes 329
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 20
16 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Espanyol vs Real Oviedo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Espanyol edged past Real Oviedo 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Espanyol as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Espanyol had 43% of the ball to Real Oviedo's 57%, shots finished 10-9, expected goals 1.47 to 0.89.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Espanyol had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Espanyol and 1.00 for Real Oviedo.

What was the final score of Espanyol vs Real Oviedo?

Espanyol 2-1 Real Oviedo in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Espanyol vs Real Oviedo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Espanyol win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Espanyol 42%, draw 29%, Real Oviedo 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Espanyol) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Espanyol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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