Villarreal II 2-2 Albacete — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.47
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
34%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.07
Over 2.5
41%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.6
No
53%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
34%
4.02
2-3 Goals
36%
1.84
4-5 Goals
17%
3.1
6+ Goals
13%
10.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.02 — our 34% vs market 19.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.69
1/2
5%
25.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
11%
5.78
X/2
15%
5.52
X/X
16%
5.13
2/1
8%
27.0
2/2
14%
3.46
2/X
6%
12.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.1pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
37%
-2.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
44%
+14.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
56%
-14.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+10.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Albacete EU Bookmakers 40%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -15%
1.39/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.54
+12% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
346 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.2
14.5 Crosses 18.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Villarreal II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Albacete
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
0.73 xG 1.74
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 2
311 Passes 417
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
16 Box Touches 25
13 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2023 Albacete Albacete 2-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
22.04.2023 Villarreal II Villarreal II 1-2 HT 1-1 Albacete Albacete İS2
30.10.2022 Albacete Albacete 0-0 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
26.02.2022 Albacete Albacete 1-0 HT 1-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS3
18.09.2021 Villarreal II Villarreal II 3-0 HT 1-0 Albacete Albacete İS3
05.02.2011 Albacete Albacete 0-2 HT 0-0 Villarreal II Villarreal II İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
2-2
AWAY Albacete
2.80 xG 2.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
25 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 1
375 Passes 318
86% Pass Accuracy 80%
49 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Albacete
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II and Albacete shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Villarreal II had 54% of the ball to Albacete's 46%, shots finished 25-8, expected goals 2.80 to 2.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albacete led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Villarreal II and 0.83 for Albacete.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Albacete?

Villarreal II 2-2 Albacete in the Spain - 2nd Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Albacete?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 37%, draw 29%, Albacete 34%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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İS2 More Spain - 2nd Division
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