Bologna 3-3 Juventus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie A, 20 May 2024

Bologna
3-3 HT 2-0
Juventus
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie A – 2023/2024

Bologna vs Juventus Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.53
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.62
Over 2.5
47%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.58
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.57
6+ Goals
9%
24.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
3.91
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.3
X/1
16%
5.39
X/2
14%
5.51
X/X
10%
3.84
2/1
10%
33.5
2/2
10%
4.03
2/X
10%
13.3
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 53% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
36%
+5.8pp
27%
Draw
30%
-2.7pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-3.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
58%
-5.3pp
47%
Over 2.5
42%
+5.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.7pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bologna v Juventus — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Juventus EU Bookmakers 37%
+7% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -8%
1.16/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.36
+14% / +56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / +30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
385 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
17.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.4
16.5 Crosses 14.9
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Bologna vs Juventus Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bologna
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Juventus
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
0.92 xG 2.09
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
395 Passes 379
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 31
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
27.08.2023 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 0-1 Bologna Bologna İTA
30.04.2023 Bologna Bologna 1-1 HT 1-0 Juventus Juventus İTA
02.10.2022 Juventus Juventus 3-0 HT 1-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
16.04.2022 Juventus Juventus 1-1 HT 0-0 Bologna Bologna İTA
18.12.2021 Bologna Bologna 0-2 HT 0-1 Juventus Juventus İTA
23.05.2021 Bologna Bologna 1-4 HT 0-3 Juventus Juventus İTA

Bologna 3-3 Juventus — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
3-3
AWAY Juventus
1.50 xG 0.73
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
521 Passes 299
90% Pass Accuracy 86%
12 Box Touches 14
11 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Juventus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna and Juventus shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Bologna had 62% of the ball to Juventus's 38%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 1.50 to 0.73.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Juventus led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bologna and 2.00 for Juventus.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Juventus?

Bologna 3-3 Juventus in the Italy - Serie A on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Juventus?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Bologna 42%, draw 27%, Juventus 31%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Under 2.5
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