Salernitana vs Hellas Verona Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Salernitana v Hellas Verona — Team-Based Signals
Salernitana vs Hellas Verona Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-0
Salernitana
İTA
1-0
HT 1-0
Salernitana
İTA
2-1
HT 1-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
1-2
HT 0-1
Salernitana
İTA
2-2
HT 1-2
Hellas Verona
İTA
1-0
HT 0-0
Salernitana
İTB
Salernitana 1-2 Hellas Verona — Actual Match Statistics
Hellas Verona edged past Salernitana 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.
As we said in the preview, our model had Hellas Verona as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Salernitana had 53% of the ball to Hellas Verona's 47%, shots finished 9-17, expected goals 0.59 to 2.15 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Hellas Verona's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salernitana had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Salernitana and 1.00 for Hellas Verona.
What was the final score of Salernitana vs Hellas Verona?
Salernitana 1-2 Hellas Verona in the Italy - Serie A on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Salernitana vs Hellas Verona?
Before kick-off our model rated an Hellas Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Salernitana 25%, draw 28%, Hellas Verona 47%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hellas Verona) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.