FH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 KR Reykjavik — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
35%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.29
Over 2.5
62%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
65%
1.49
No
35%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
43%
-3.4pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+3.2pp
38%
Under 2.5
40%
-1.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
60%
+1.7pp
65%
BTTS Yes
63%
+1.7pp
35%
BTTS No
37%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY KR Reykjavik EU Bookmakers 36%
+10% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -10%
2.45/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.81
+6% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
367 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 78%
29.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
23.1 Crosses 21.7
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
2W-2D-2L
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.01 xG 1.46
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 6
228 Passes 281
67% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 23
22 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
07.10.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-1 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
18.07.2023 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-0 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
29.04.2023 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 3-0 HT 1-0 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
28.08.2022 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 0-0 HT 0-0 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
29.05.2022 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur 2-3 HT 1-2 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik İZL
08.08.2021 KR Reykjavik KR Reykjavik 1-1 HT 1-1 FH Hafnarfjordur FH Hafnarfjordur İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FH Hafnarfjordur
1-2
AWAY KR Reykjavik
1.44 xG 1.79
54% Ball Possession 46%
19 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
13 Corners 8
216 Passes 186
61% Pass Accuracy 58%
26 Box Touches 22
40 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH FH Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KR Reykjavik nicked a narrow win over FH Hafnarfjordur 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match split (40% / 25% / 35%) promised a tight game; KR Reykjavik found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (65%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, FH Hafnarfjordur had 54% of the ball to KR Reykjavik's 46%, shots finished 19-15, expected goals 1.44 to 1.79.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for FH Hafnarfjordur and 1.00 for KR Reykjavik.

What was the final score of FH Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik?

FH Hafnarfjordur 1-2 KR Reykjavik in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FH Hafnarfjordur vs KR Reykjavik?

Before kick-off our model rated a FH Hafnarfjordur win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split FH Hafnarfjordur 40%, draw 25%, KR Reykjavik 35%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (FH Hafnarfjordur) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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