KA Akureyri 4-2 Fylkir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iceland - Urvalsdeild, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒19:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
29%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.43
Over 2.5
52%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
57%
-12.5pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
29%
Away Win
21%
+8.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.7pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KA Akureyri EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fylkir EU Bookmakers 24%
+7% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.89/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.87
+7% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -1%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
453 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
28.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.4
24.8 Crosses 18.1
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KA Akureyri
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Fylkir
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.52 xG 1.64
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
399 Passes 325
83% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 34
17 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 2-4 HT 1-2 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
03.09.2023 Fylkir Fylkir 1-1 HT 0-1 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
10.06.2023 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-1 HT 1-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
02.03.2022 Fylkir Fylkir 2-2 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZLK
11.09.2021 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri 2-0 HT 0-0 Fylkir Fylkir İZL
13.07.2021 Fylkir Fylkir 2-1 HT 1-0 KA Akureyri KA Akureyri İZL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KA Akureyri
4-2
AWAY Fylkir
2.71 xG 1.47
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 22
6 Shots on Target 10
8 Corners 7
243 Passes 346
72% Pass Accuracy 83%
39 Box Touches 38
22 Crosses 26
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH KA Akureyri vs Fylkir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KA Akureyri got the better of Fylkir 4-2. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had KA Akureyri as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, KA Akureyri had 45% of the ball to Fylkir's 55%, shots finished 17-22, expected goals 2.71 to 1.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, KA Akureyri had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KA Akureyri and 1.33 for Fylkir.

What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Fylkir?

KA Akureyri 4-2 Fylkir in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Fylkir?

Before kick-off our model rated a KA Akureyri win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 44%, draw 27%, Fylkir 29%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KA Akureyri), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KA Akureyri) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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