Central Cordoba Santiago 2-4 Boca Juniors — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 May 2024

Central Cordoba Santiago
2-4 HT 2-0
Boca Juniors
📅20/05/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Central Cordoba Santiago vs Boca Juniors Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
4.71
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
47%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.86
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.08
6+ Goals
7%
19.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.86 — our 32% vs market 29.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
9.26
1/2
4%
26.0
1/X
5%
17.7
X/1
13%
10.75
X/2
15%
3.62
X/X
15%
4.76
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
27%
2.07
2/X
9%
16.65
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
18%
+6.9pp
28%
Draw
24%
+4.2pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-11.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Central Cordoba Santiago v Boca Juniors — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Boca Juniors EU Bookmakers 62%
-8% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +2%
1.10/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.78/0.90
-36% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +21%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
238 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 78%
16.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.0
18.6 Crosses 16.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2

Central Cordoba Santiago vs Boca Juniors Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Boca Juniors
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.99 xG 1.82
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
184 Passes 430
68% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Box Touches 30
13 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
15.02.2024 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 2-0 HT 1-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
20.09.2023 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 0-3 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
06.02.2023 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 0-0 HT 0-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ
13.06.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 1-0 HT 0-0 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
24.04.2022 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago 1-2 HT 1-1 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors ARJ
12.12.2021 Boca Juniors Boca Juniors 8-1 HT 4-0 Central Cordoba Santiago Central Cordoba Santiago ARJ

Central Cordoba Santiago 2-4 Boca Juniors — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Cordoba Santiago
2-4
AWAY Boca Juniors
1.59 xG 2.79
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 12
2 Corners 6
392 Passes 281
82% Pass Accuracy 79%
15 Box Touches 30
14 Crosses 21
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Central Cordoba Santiago vs Boca Juniors
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boca Juniors saw off Central Cordoba Santiago 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Boca Juniors as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Cordoba Santiago had 57% of the ball to Boca Juniors's 43%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 1.59 to 2.79.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boca Juniors led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Central Cordoba Santiago and 2.50 for Boca Juniors.

What was the final score of Central Cordoba Santiago vs Boca Juniors?

Central Cordoba Santiago 2-4 Boca Juniors in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Cordoba Santiago vs Boca Juniors?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boca Juniors win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Central Cordoba Santiago 25%, draw 28%, Boca Juniors 46%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boca Juniors) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boca Juniors) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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