Al Riffa 1-2 Manama — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bahrain - Premier League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.76
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
31%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
2.0
Over 2.5
41%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.76
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
20%
3.24
6+ Goals
9%
11.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.76 — our 28% vs market 21.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.2pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.8pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+7.4pp
59%
Under 2.5
46%
+12.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
54%
-12.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riffa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Manama EU Bookmakers 27%
-8% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.48/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.30
-21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riffa
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Manama
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
59% Ball Possession 41%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2024 Manama Manama 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAHK
06.02.2024 Manama Manama 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
01.03.2023 Manama Manama 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
26.12.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-1 HT 0-1 Manama Manama BAH
23.04.2022 Al Riffa Al Riffa 0-0 HT 0-0 Manama Manama BAH
10.01.2022 Manama Manama 0-2 HT 0-2 Al Riffa Al Riffa BAH
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riffa
1-2
AWAY Manama
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riffa vs Manama
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manama edged past Al Riffa 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Riffa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Riffa had 55% of the ball to Manama's 45%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Al Riffa and 0.50 for Manama.

What was the final score of Al Riffa vs Manama?

Al Riffa 1-2 Manama in the Bahrain - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riffa vs Manama?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riffa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Riffa 41%, draw 28%, Manama 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Riffa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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