Reading U21 3-4 Sunderland U21 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League 2 (League 1), 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.9
Draw
20%
3.94
Away
40%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
3.17
Over 2.5
56%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.31
No
41%
3.14
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
29%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
13%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
48%
-8.2pp
20%
Draw
22%
-2.4pp
40%
Away Win
30%
+10.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.3pp
56%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
72%
-13.2pp
41%
BTTS No
28%
+13.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Reading U21 EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunderland U21 EU Bookmakers 33%
+38% / +38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +60% / +60%
2.04/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.28/0.91
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% /
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 5
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.7 Crosses 14.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Reading U21
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Sunderland U21
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.36 xG 2.47
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 23
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
270 Passes 408
73% Pass Accuracy 80%
12 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.02.2024 Reading U21 Reading U21 2-1 HT 1-1 Sunderland U21 Sunderland U21 INGPL2-1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Reading U21
3-4
AWAY Sunderland U21
2.72 xG 1.96
38% Ball Possession 62%
12 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 5
234 Passes 505
65% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Reading U21 vs Sunderland U21
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunderland U21 squeezed past Reading U21 4-3 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 20% / 40% — and on the day Sunderland U21 made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

On the day, Reading U21 had 38% of the ball to Sunderland U21's 62%, shots finished 12-17, expected goals 2.72 to 1.96 — the balance of chances actually favoured Reading U21.

What was the final score of Reading U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Reading U21 3-4 Sunderland U21 in the England - Premier League 2 (League 1) on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Reading U21 vs Sunderland U21?

Before kick-off our model rated a Reading U21 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Reading U21 40%, draw 20%, Sunderland U21 40%. The final score 3-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (40/20/40) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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