Millonarios 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.75
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
21%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.56
Over 2.5
42%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.16
No
55%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
54%
-4.9pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
18%
+3.7pp
58%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Millonarios EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 21%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +12%
1.25/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.39
-8% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +34%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
374 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 74%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.1
19.8 Crosses 10.7
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Millonarios
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.17
1.61 xG 0.32
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
329 Passes 270
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
22 Box Touches 11
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
16.09.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 3-0 HT 2-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
18.08.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOLK
11.08.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 3-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOLK
02.04.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 0-2 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
13.07.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Millonarios
0-1
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.89 xG 0.67
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 1
7 Corners 6
356 Passes 198
83% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 13
33 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Bucaramanga nicked a narrow win over Millonarios 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Millonarios at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Millonarios had 62% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 38%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 0.89 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Millonarios and 0.17 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Millonarios 0-1 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Millonarios 49%, draw 30%, Atletico Bucaramanga 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Millonarios) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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