Junior 2-3 Deportivo Pereira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒01:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.64
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
21%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.59
Over 2.5
41%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.27
No
62%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
57%
-3.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
-0.1pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
+0.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-1.6pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 19%
+3% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / -7%
1.46/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.14
+12% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +23%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
364 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
19.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 11.2
16.3 Crosses 12.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.27 xG 1.03
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
379 Passes 274
83% Pass Accuracy 77%
13 Box Touches 16
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.02.2024 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 3-3 HT 0-2 Junior Junior KOL
26.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
14.05.2023 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
01.12.2022 Junior Junior 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
07.11.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 4-3 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
11.09.2022 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
2-3
AWAY Deportivo Pereira
0.76 xG 0.89
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 0
359 Passes 217
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
32 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs Deportivo Pereira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira squeezed past Junior 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-3. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Junior at 54%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 60% of the ball to Deportivo Pereira's 40%, shots finished 16-5, expected goals 0.76 to 0.89.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Junior and 1.50 for Deportivo Pereira.

What was the final score of Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?

Junior 2-3 Deportivo Pereira in the Colombia - Primera on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs Deportivo Pereira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Junior 54%, draw 25%, Deportivo Pereira 21%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
20 May 2024
04:00 Millonarios vs Atletico Bucaramanga Analysis →