Deportivo Pereira 3-3 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.25
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
41%
-2.5pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.6pp
30%
Away Win
30%
-0.0pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+5.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-5.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.0pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pereira EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 34%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -14%
1.12/0.95 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.17
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -11%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
314 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.3
17.6 Crosses 13.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pereira
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Junior
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.03 xG 1.11
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
256 Passes 393
75% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 12
10 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.10.2023 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 0-2 HT 0-1 Junior Junior KOL
14.05.2023 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
01.12.2022 Junior Junior 0-2 HT 0-1 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
07.11.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 4-3 HT 1-0 Junior Junior KOL
11.09.2022 Junior Junior 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira KOL
21.03.2022 Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 1-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pereira
3-3
AWAY Junior
1.16 xG 1.72
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 5
293 Passes 292
83% Pass Accuracy 85%
18 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 7
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pereira vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pereira and Junior shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 31% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Deportivo Pereira had 51% of the ball to Junior's 49%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.16 to 1.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pereira had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pereira and 0.83 for Junior.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pereira vs Junior?

Deportivo Pereira 3-3 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pereira vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pereira win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pereira 38%, draw 31%, Junior 30%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Deportivo Pereira) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
26 Feb 2024
00:30 Jaguares De Cordoba vs America de Cali Analysis →
02:30 La Equidad vs Atletico Nacional Analysis →