La Equidad 2-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 26 Feb 2024

📅26/02/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.11
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
45%
-1.8pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.0pp
28%
Away Win
26%
+1.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-2.9pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+2.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.6pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME La Equidad EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.35/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/1.15
-18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
308 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 75%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.2
18.1 Crosses 13.1
3.1 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME La Equidad
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.93 xG 1.68
40% Ball Possession 60%
11 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
219 Passes 367
72% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.09.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 5-0 HT 2-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
02.04.2023 La Equidad La Equidad 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
31.10.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-1 HT 1-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
15.05.2022 La Equidad La Equidad 1-0 HT 1-0 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
13.09.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-0 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
02.05.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-2 HT 0-0 La Equidad La Equidad KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME La Equidad
2-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.86 xG 0.72
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
242 Passes 274
75% Pass Accuracy 77%
19 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH La Equidad vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

La Equidad beat Atletico Nacional 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had La Equidad as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, La Equidad had 48% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 52%, shots finished 17-16, expected goals 0.86 to 0.72.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for La Equidad and 1.67 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of La Equidad vs Atletico Nacional?

La Equidad 2-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 26/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for La Equidad vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a La Equidad win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split La Equidad 43%, draw 28%, Atletico Nacional 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (La Equidad), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (La Equidad) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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