Cruz Azul vs Monterrey Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cruz Azul v Monterrey — Team-Based Signals
Cruz Azul vs Monterrey Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-1
Cruz Azul
MEK
2-3
HT 1-1
Monterrey
MEK
3-0
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul
MEK
0-0
HT 0-0
Monterrey
MEK
Cruz Azul 1-2 Monterrey — Actual Match Statistics
Monterrey edged past Cruz Azul 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Cruz Azul at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Cruz Azul had 31% of the ball to Monterrey's 69%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 1.69 to 2.49.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cruz Azul had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Cruz Azul and 1.33 for Monterrey.
What was the final score of Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
Cruz Azul 1-2 Monterrey in the Mexico - Primera on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cruz Azul vs Monterrey?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cruz Azul win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Cruz Azul 42%, draw 28%, Monterrey 30%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.