Hönefoss BK 2-0 Elverum — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home Pick
56%
1.27
Draw
22%
6.26
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.49
No
48%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1
25%
2-3
39%
4-5
22%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
20%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
13%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Hönefoss BK win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Selection The Market
56%
Home Win
75%
-18.7pp
22%
Draw
14%
+8.4pp
22%
Away Win
12%
+10.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
63%
-11.3pp
48%
BTTS No
37%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — the market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hönefoss BK The Market 79%
Head to Head
AWAY Elverum The Market 14%
+1% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
3.00/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.58/3.04
-4% / +43% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +141% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
428 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hönefoss BK
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Elverum
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
5 Corners 8
02.09.2023 Elverum Elverum 1-3 HT 1-2 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR4
13.05.2023 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK 2-1 HT 1-1 Elverum Elverum NOR4
03.09.2022 Elverum Elverum 3-2 HT 3-1 Hönefoss BK Hönefoss BK NOR4
POST-MATCH Hönefoss BK vs Elverum
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hönefoss BK saw off Elverum 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Hönefoss BK as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Hönefoss BK had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hönefoss BK and 1.67 for Elverum.

What was the final score of Hönefoss BK vs Elverum?

Hönefoss BK 2-0 Elverum in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hönefoss BK vs Elverum?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hönefoss BK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Hönefoss BK 56%, draw 22%, Elverum 22%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hönefoss BK) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hönefoss BK) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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