Tiller 0-2 Trygg/Lade — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 3rd Division, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.23
Over 2.5
57%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
No
42%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.3pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
41%
-7.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
41%
+2.3pp
57%
Over 2.5
59%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tiller EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Trygg/Lade EU Bookmakers 45%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.91/1.66 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/0.73
-2% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -66% / +150%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
234 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 208 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tiller
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Trygg/Lade
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 4
01.10.2022 Tiller Tiller 1-0 HT 1-0 Trygg/Lade Trygg/Lade NOR4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tiller
0-2
AWAY Trygg/Lade
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tiller vs Trygg/Lade
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trygg/Lade beat Tiller 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Tiller at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tiller had 47% of the ball to Trygg/Lade's 53%, shots finished 8-12.

What was the final score of Tiller vs Trygg/Lade?

Tiller 0-2 Trygg/Lade in the Norway - 3rd Division on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tiller vs Trygg/Lade?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tiller win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Tiller 43%, draw 23%, Trygg/Lade 34%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Tiller) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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