UTC Cajamarca 2-4 Sport Boys — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 20 May 2024

📅20/05/2024 · 🕒23:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
16%
X/2
7%
X/X
4%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-7.2pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.8pp
27%
Away Win
18%
+9.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+5.0pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+1.1pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UTC Cajamarca EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Sport Boys EU Bookmakers 21%
+4% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +9%
1.66/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.47
+22% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +13%
57% Ball Possession 43%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
362 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 68%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
24.8 Crosses 16.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sport Boys
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.95 xG 1.41
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
256 Passes 261
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
23 Box Touches 14
23 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.09.2023 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
22.05.2023 Sport Boys Sport Boys 3-2 HT 1-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
11.07.2022 Sport Boys Sport Boys 3-0 HT 2-0 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca PER
04.02.2022 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 1-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
16.10.2021 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 1-1 HT 0-1 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
07.09.2020 UTC Cajamarca UTC Cajamarca 2-1 HT 1-0 Sport Boys Sport Boys PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UTC Cajamarca
2-4
AWAY Sport Boys
1.23 xG 1.60
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 0
269 Passes 227
79% Pass Accuracy 74%
30 Box Touches 8
41 Crosses 4
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sport Boys beat UTC Cajamarca 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was UTC Cajamarca at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, UTC Cajamarca had 55% of the ball to Sport Boys's 45%, shots finished 16-10, expected goals 1.23 to 1.60.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for UTC Cajamarca and 1.67 for Sport Boys.

What was the final score of UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?

UTC Cajamarca 2-4 Sport Boys in the Peru - Premier League on 20/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UTC Cajamarca vs Sport Boys?

Before kick-off our model rated a UTC Cajamarca win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split UTC Cajamarca 50%, draw 24%, Sport Boys 27%. The final score 2-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UTC Cajamarca) ✗ BTTS No
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