Panevezys II 0-4 FA Siauliai II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Lithuania - 1st Division, 20 May 2025

📅20/05/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.72
Draw
23%
4.08
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.46
No
49%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
10%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
54%
-3.3pp
23%
Draw
21%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+2.0pp
51%
BTTS Yes
64%
-13.1pp
49%
BTTS No
36%
+13.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Panevezys II EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY FA Siauliai II EU Bookmakers 28%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -2%
2.58/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/2.88
+52% / -41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +41% / -48%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Panevezys II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY FA Siauliai II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
11.10.2024 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 0-1 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
27.05.2024 Panevezys II Panevezys II 0-4 HT 0-2 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
11.10.2023 Panevezys II Panevezys II 3-0 HT 1-0 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
29.05.2023 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-3 HT 2-2 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
03.10.2022 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II 3-1 HT 1-0 Panevezys II Panevezys II LIT1
29.05.2022 Panevezys II Panevezys II 2-5 HT 0-2 FA Siauliai II FA Siauliai II LIT1
POST-MATCH Panevezys II vs FA Siauliai II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FA Siauliai II cruised past Panevezys II 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Panevezys II at 51%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, FA Siauliai II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Panevezys II and 2.50 for FA Siauliai II.

What was the final score of Panevezys II vs FA Siauliai II?

Panevezys II 0-4 FA Siauliai II in the Lithuania - 1st Division on 20/05/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Panevezys II vs FA Siauliai II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Panevezys II win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Panevezys II 51%, draw 23%, FA Siauliai II 26%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Panevezys II), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Panevezys II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →