KuPS Ak. 2-1 VIFK Vaasa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.56
No
45%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
4.84
2-3 Goals
34%
1.93
4-5 Goals
28%
2.8
6+ Goals
16%
7.58
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-5.1pp
23%
Draw
22%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+4.1pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+0.8pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-0.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.5pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY VIFK Vaasa EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +63% / -16%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
404 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME KuPS Ak.
2W-0D-1L
AWAY VIFK Vaasa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 18
5 Shots on Target 8
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa 0-4 HT 0-4 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİN2
02.09.2023 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa 2-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİNKAK
10.06.2023 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 2-0 HT 1-0 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİNKAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME KuPS Ak.
2-1
AWAY VIFK Vaasa
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH KuPS Ak. vs VIFK Vaasa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Ak. nicked a narrow win over VIFK Vaasa 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had KuPS Ak. as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, KuPS Ak. had 47% of the ball to VIFK Vaasa's 53%, shots finished 11-13.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, KuPS Ak. had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for KuPS Ak. and 0.67 for VIFK Vaasa.

What was the final score of KuPS Ak. vs VIFK Vaasa?

KuPS Ak. 2-1 VIFK Vaasa in the Finland - Ykkönen on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for KuPS Ak. vs VIFK Vaasa?

Before kick-off our model rated a KuPS Ak. win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split KuPS Ak. 48%, draw 23%, VIFK Vaasa 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (KuPS Ak.), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (KuPS Ak.) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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