VIFK Vaasa 0-4 KuPS Ak. — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Finland - Ykkönen, 13 Apr 2024

📅13/04/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
34%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.21
Over 2.5
52%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.61
No
47%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.38
2-3 Goals
45%
1.88
4-5 Goals
21%
2.95
6+ Goals
11%
8.79
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
53%
-12.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.4pp
34%
Away Win
23%
+10.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.4pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME VIFK Vaasa EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY KuPS Ak. EU Bookmakers 26%
-68% / -68% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-53% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
350 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME VIFK Vaasa
1W-0D-1L
AWAY KuPS Ak.
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
02.09.2023 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa 2-0 HT 0-0 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. FİNKAK
10.06.2023 KuPS Ak. KuPS Ak. 2-0 HT 1-0 VIFK Vaasa VIFK Vaasa FİNKAK
POST-MATCH VIFK Vaasa vs KuPS Ak.
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

KuPS Ak. cruised past VIFK Vaasa 4-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was VIFK Vaasa at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for VIFK Vaasa and 1.00 for KuPS Ak..

What was the final score of VIFK Vaasa vs KuPS Ak.?

VIFK Vaasa 0-4 KuPS Ak. in the Finland - Ykkönen on 13/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for VIFK Vaasa vs KuPS Ak.?

Before kick-off our model rated a VIFK Vaasa win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split VIFK Vaasa 41%, draw 25%, KuPS Ak. 34%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (VIFK Vaasa), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (VIFK Vaasa) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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