Sepahan 2-0 Mes Rafsanjan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Cup, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.52
2-3 Goals
45%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.69
6+ Goals
7%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
48%
-2.4pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.3pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+4.8pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.4pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sepahan EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 27%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/0.49
+83% / -37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -35% / +86%
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sepahan
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Mes Rafsanjan
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
11.05.2024 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 HT 0-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
09.12.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 4-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
15.04.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.10.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
22.01.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 3-1 HT 2-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
19.10.2021 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Sepahan vs Mes Rafsanjan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sepahan beat Mes Rafsanjan 2-0. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sepahan as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sepahan and 0.83 for Mes Rafsanjan.

What was the final score of Sepahan vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Sepahan 2-0 Mes Rafsanjan in the Iran - Cup on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sepahan vs Mes Rafsanjan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sepahan 46%, draw 26%, Mes Rafsanjan 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sepahan), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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