Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Sepahan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 11 May 2024

Mes Rafsanjan
1-1 HT 0-1
Sepahan
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒17:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Mes Rafsanjan vs Sepahan Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.46
Draw
36%
3.11
Away
38%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.54
Over 2.5
33%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2.36
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
15%
5.11
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
26%
+0.7pp
36%
Draw
29%
+7.2pp
38%
Away Win
46%
-8.0pp
67%
Under 2.5
61%
+5.5pp
33%
Over 2.5
39%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Mes Rafsanjan v Sepahan — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Rafsanjan EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Sepahan EU Bookmakers 49%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +3%
0.76/1.10 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.93
-1% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -38%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
262 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Mes Rafsanjan vs Sepahan Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Rafsanjan
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Sepahan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
The Meetings
09.12.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 4-1 HT 0-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
15.04.2023 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
28.10.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 0-0 HT 0-0 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
22.01.2022 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan 3-1 HT 2-1 Sepahan Sepahan IRAN
19.10.2021 Sepahan Sepahan 2-0 HT 1-0 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
16.05.2021 Sepahan Sepahan 5-1 HT 4-1 Mes Rafsanjan Mes Rafsanjan IRAN
POST-MATCH Mes Rafsanjan vs Sepahan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Rafsanjan and Sepahan couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 26% / 36% / 38% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (67%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sepahan led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Mes Rafsanjan and 2.33 for Sepahan.

What was the final score of Mes Rafsanjan vs Sepahan?

Mes Rafsanjan 1-1 Sepahan in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Rafsanjan vs Sepahan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sepahan win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Mes Rafsanjan 26%, draw 36%, Sepahan 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sepahan), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sepahan) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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