Aluminium Arak 1-1 Sanat Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 11 May 2024

📅11/05/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.09
Draw
34%
3.04
Away
33%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.48
Over 2.5
45%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.16
No
46%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.19
2-3 Goals
47%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.71
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
44%
-11.2pp
34%
Draw
29%
+5.1pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
64%
-8.8pp
45%
Over 2.5
36%
+8.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+11.8pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-11.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminium Arak EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +9%
0.90/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.12
-23% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -13%
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
333 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminium Arak
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Sanat Naft
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
08.12.2023 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 1-2 HT 1-2 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
27.01.2023 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 3-1 HT 2-0 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
19.08.2022 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-1 HT 0-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
14.05.2022 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak 2-1 HT 1-1 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft IRAN
29.12.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 3-1 HT 1-0 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
08.05.2021 Sanat Naft Sanat Naft 0-1 HT 0-1 Aluminium Arak Aluminium Arak IRAN
POST-MATCH Aluminium Arak vs Sanat Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminium Arak and Sanat Naft couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (33% / 34% / 33%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Aluminium Arak had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Aluminium Arak and 1.00 for Sanat Naft.

What was the final score of Aluminium Arak vs Sanat Naft?

Aluminium Arak 1-1 Sanat Naft in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminium Arak vs Sanat Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Aluminium Arak 33%, draw 34%, Sanat Naft 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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