Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0 Malavan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League, 11 May 2024

Shams Azar Qazvin
1-0 HT 1-0
Malavan FC
📅11/05/2024 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✓
Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League – 2023/2024

Shams Azar Qazvin vs Malavan FC Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
40%
2.66
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.45
Over 2.5
27%
2.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
42%
2.11
2-3 Goals
38%
1.82
4-5 Goals
13%
6.05
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.11 — our 42% vs market 40.3%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
24%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.4pp
40%
Draw
34%
+6.0pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.5pp
73%
Under 2.5
65%
+7.8pp
27%
Over 2.5
35%
-7.8pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.8pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Shams Azar Qazvin v Malavan FC — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Malavan FC EU Bookmakers 36%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.20/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/0.77
+24% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
350 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 75%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Shams Azar Qazvin vs Malavan FC Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shams Azar Qazvin
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Malavan FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
The Meetings
08.12.2023 Malavan FC Malavan FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Shams Azar Qazvin Shams Azar Qazvin IRAN
POST-MATCH Shams Azar Qazvin vs Malavan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shams Azar Qazvin squeezed past Malavan FC 1-0.

Our pre-match split (31% / 40% / 29%) promised a tight game; Shams Azar Qazvin found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (73%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Shams Azar Qazvin vs Malavan FC?

Shams Azar Qazvin 1-0 Malavan FC in the Iran - Persian Gulf Pro League on 11/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shams Azar Qazvin vs Malavan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Shams Azar Qazvin 31%, draw 40%, Malavan FC 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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