Greenville Triumph 2-0 Charlotte Independence — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 1, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒02:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.95
Over 2.5
45%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.7
No
54%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-5.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.5pp
30%
Away Win
27%
+3.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.0pp
54%
BTTS No
45%
+9.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Greenville Triumph EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Charlotte Independence EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -11%
1.36/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.82
-18% / +20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -26%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
333 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 305 · 76%
21.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
19.6 Crosses 15.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Greenville Triumph
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.56 xG 1.49
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
352 Passes 360
82% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 27
21 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
13.04.2024 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-0 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
21.10.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 3-2 HT 0-1 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
06.08.2023 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 3-2 HT 2-1 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
20.07.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-0 HT 0-0 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
04.05.2023 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence 1-3 HT 0-2 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph USL1
09.10.2022 Greenville Triumph Greenville Triumph 1-0 HT 0-0 Charlotte Independence Charlotte Independence USL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Greenville Triumph
2-0
AWAY Charlotte Independence
1.11 xG 0.49
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
336 Passes 416
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 24
11 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Greenville Triumph got the better of Charlotte Independence 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Greenville Triumph as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Greenville Triumph had 45% of the ball to Charlotte Independence's 55%, shots finished 17-10, expected goals 1.11 to 0.49.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Greenville Triumph and 1.33 for Charlotte Independence.

What was the final score of Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?

Greenville Triumph 2-0 Charlotte Independence in the USA - USL League 1 on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence?

Before kick-off our model rated a Greenville Triumph win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Greenville Triumph 44%, draw 26%, Charlotte Independence 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Greenville Triumph), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Greenville Triumph) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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