Northern Virginia 0-2 Virginia Beach United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.64
Away
35%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.21
Over 2.5
58%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
67%
1.55
No
33%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
15%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
12%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
47%
-12.1pp
30%
Draw
24%
+6.3pp
35%
Away Win
29%
+5.7pp
42%
Under 2.5
41%
+1.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
59%
-1.0pp
67%
BTTS Yes
60%
+6.3pp
33%
BTTS No
40%
-6.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Northern Virginia EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Virginia Beach United EU Bookmakers 32%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -43% / -43%
3.82/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/5.00
+127% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -67%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 5
325 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Northern Virginia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Virginia Beach United
3.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 7
10 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
13.07.2023 Virginia Beach United Virginia Beach United 2-1 HT 2-1 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia USL2
14.07.2022 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia 4-1 HT 2-1 Virginia Beach United Virginia Beach United USL2
07.07.2022 Northern Virginia Northern Virginia 5-0 HT 2-0 Virginia Beach United Virginia Beach United USL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Northern Virginia
0-2
AWAY Virginia Beach United
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Northern Virginia vs Virginia Beach United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virginia Beach United beat Northern Virginia 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and on the day Virginia Beach United made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (67%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Northern Virginia had 62% of the ball to Virginia Beach United's 38%, shots finished 17-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Northern Virginia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.33 goals for Northern Virginia and 1.00 for Virginia Beach United.

What was the final score of Northern Virginia vs Virginia Beach United?

Northern Virginia 0-2 Virginia Beach United in the USA - USL League 2 on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Northern Virginia vs Virginia Beach United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Northern Virginia win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Northern Virginia 35%, draw 30%, Virginia Beach United 35%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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