Tobacco Road vs Wake Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Tobacco Road v Wake — Team-Based Signals
Tobacco Road vs Wake Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-3
Wake
USL2
0-3
HT 0-2
Tobacco Road
USL2
Tobacco Road swept aside Wake 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was Wake at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Wake led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Tobacco Road and 2.00 for Wake.
What was the final score of Tobacco Road vs Wake?
Tobacco Road 4-1 Wake in the USA - USL League 2 on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Tobacco Road vs Wake?
Before kick-off our model rated an Wake win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Tobacco Road 30%, draw 28%, Wake 42%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wake) went the other way.