Birmingham Legion 3-0 San Antonio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USL Championship, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.9
Over 2.5
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.75
No
54%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.35
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.35 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
50%
-8.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
24%
+8.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.0pp
54%
BTTS No
47%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birmingham Legion EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY San Antonio EU Bookmakers 28%
-18% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -8%
1.57/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.21
-21% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +11%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
326 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 73%
26.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.5
16.7 Crosses 19.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birmingham Legion
0W-0D-3L
AWAY San Antonio
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
1.34 xG 1.26
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
299 Passes 167
76% Pass Accuracy 66%
22 Box Touches 20
15 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.07.2023 San Antonio San Antonio 3-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
10.10.2022 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion 1-2 HT 1-1 San Antonio San Antonio USLP
23.05.2021 San Antonio San Antonio 2-1 HT 1-0 Birmingham Legion Birmingham Legion USLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birmingham Legion
3-0
AWAY San Antonio
2.12 xG 0.25
64% Ball Possession 36%
22 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 3
454 Passes 226
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
30 Box Touches 8
25 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Birmingham Legion vs San Antonio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Birmingham Legion ran out comfortable winners over San Antonio 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Birmingham Legion as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Birmingham Legion had 64% of the ball to San Antonio's 36%, shots finished 22-7, expected goals 2.12 to 0.25.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, San Antonio led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Birmingham Legion and 2.33 for San Antonio.

What was the final score of Birmingham Legion vs San Antonio?

Birmingham Legion 3-0 San Antonio in the USL Championship on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birmingham Legion vs San Antonio?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birmingham Legion win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Birmingham Legion 41%, draw 26%, San Antonio 33%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Birmingham Legion), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Birmingham Legion) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
USLP More USL Championship
20 Jun 2024
03:30 FC Tulsa vs Miami FC Analysis →