FC Tulsa vs Miami FC Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
FC Tulsa v Miami FC — Team-Based Signals
FC Tulsa vs Miami FC Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Miami FC
USLP
1-1
HT 1-1
FC Tulsa
USLP
1-2
HT 1-2
FC Tulsa
USLP
0-0
HT 0-0
Miami FC
USLP
FC Tulsa 2-1 Miami FC — Actual Match Statistics
FC Tulsa squeezed past Miami FC 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
As we said in the preview, our model had FC Tulsa as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, FC Tulsa had 48% of the ball to Miami FC's 52%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.87 to 0.43 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold FC Tulsa's control.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, FC Tulsa had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Tulsa and 0.50 for Miami FC.
What was the final score of FC Tulsa vs Miami FC?
FC Tulsa 2-1 Miami FC in the USL Championship on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for FC Tulsa vs Miami FC?
Before kick-off our model rated a FC Tulsa win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split FC Tulsa 49%, draw 24%, Miami FC 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (FC Tulsa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.