20/06/2024
·
23:00
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
0-3
2nd Score
0-4
Dinamo PLC vs Monagas Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
17%
X/X
5%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
13%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
24%
23%
Draw
27%
42%
Away Win
49%
47%
Under 2.5
55%
53%
Over 2.5
45%
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
55%
BTTS No
51%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Dinamo PLC v Monagas — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Dinamo PLC
EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY
Monagas
EU Bookmakers 54%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
44%
Ball Possession
56%
11
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Target
5
4
Corners
5
235 · 71%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
350 · 79%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
POST-MATCH
Dinamo PLC vs Monagas
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Monagas edged past Dinamo PLC 3-2 away from home. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Monagas as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.
What was the final score of Dinamo PLC vs Monagas?
Dinamo PLC 2-3 Monagas in the VENK on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Dinamo PLC vs Monagas?
Before kick-off our model rated an Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dinamo PLC 35%, draw 23%, Monagas 42%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.
✓ Match Result (Monagas)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS No
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VENK
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20 Jun 2024