Portuguesa FC 0-1 Fundacion Lara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — VENK, 20 Jun 2024

📅20/06/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
13%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.82
Over 2.5
50%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
No
53%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
27%
X/2
4%
X/X
10%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
65%
-1.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.7pp
13%
Away Win
14%
-1.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Portuguesa FC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Fundacion Lara EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
419 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Portuguesa FC
0-1
AWAY Fundacion Lara
50% Ball Possession 50%
7 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Portuguesa FC vs Fundacion Lara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fundacion Lara edged past Portuguesa FC 1-0 away from home.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Portuguesa FC at 63% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Portuguesa FC had 50% of the ball to Fundacion Lara's 50%, shots finished 7-11.

What was the final score of Portuguesa FC vs Fundacion Lara?

Portuguesa FC 0-1 Fundacion Lara in the VENK on 20/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Portuguesa FC vs Fundacion Lara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Portuguesa FC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Portuguesa FC 63%, draw 24%, Fundacion Lara 13%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Portuguesa FC) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Portuguesa FC) ✓ BTTS No
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