Naft Al-Basra 1-3 Al Shorta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 20 Jun 2025

Naft Al-Basra
1-3 HT 0-1
Al Shorta
📅20/06/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Iraq - Premier League – 2024/2025

Naft Al-Basra vs Al Shorta Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
6.35
Draw
27%
4.19
Away
57%
1.41
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
6%
X/2
15%
X/X
16%
2/1
5%
2/2
35%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
13%
+2.9pp
27%
Draw
21%
+6.6pp
57%
Away Win
67%
-9.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-1.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+1.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
-0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Naft Al-Basra v Al Shorta — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Al-Basra EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Shorta EU Bookmakers 71%
-28% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
0.00/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.98/0.00
-100% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / –
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 7
259 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 445 · 83%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Naft Al-Basra vs Al Shorta Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Al-Basra
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Al Shorta
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
The Meetings
08.04.2025 Al Shorta Al Shorta 3-1 HT 2-0 Naft Al-Basra Naft Al-Basra IRAK
POST-MATCH Naft Al-Basra vs Al Shorta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Shorta got the better of Naft Al-Basra 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Shorta as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Naft Al-Basra vs Al Shorta?

Naft Al-Basra 1-3 Al Shorta in the Iraq - Premier League on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Al-Basra vs Al Shorta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Shorta win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Naft Al-Basra 16%, draw 27%, Al Shorta 57%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Shorta), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Shorta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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