Toledo Villa 2-3 Steel City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — USA - USL League 2, 20 Jun 2025

📅20/06/2025 · 🕒02:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+2.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.1pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Toledo Villa EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Steel City EU Bookmakers 45%
+47% / +47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+87% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
339 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Toledo Villa vs Steel City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steel City squeezed past Toledo Villa 3-2 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 27% / 36%) promised a tight game; Steel City found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Toledo Villa vs Steel City?

Toledo Villa 2-3 Steel City in the USA - USL League 2 on 20/06/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Toledo Villa vs Steel City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Toledo Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Toledo Villa 37%, draw 27%, Steel City 36%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Toledo Villa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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