Melbourne Srbija 2-0 Melbourne Knights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 20 Jun 2026

📅20/06/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.46
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
49%
1.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
2.03
Over 2.5
43%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
50%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
6%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
36%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
25%
-0.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.8pp
48%
Away Win
51%
-2.7pp
57%
Under 2.5
45%
+11.6pp
43%
Over 2.5
55%
-11.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.5pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 56%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +37% / +37%
1.74/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.49/0.51
+11% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +70% / +150%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 462 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Melbourne Srbija
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Melbourne Knights
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
13.03.2026 Melbourne Knights Melbourne Knights 2-0 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija AVPL1
POST-MATCH Melbourne Srbija vs Melbourne Knights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Srbija saw off Melbourne Knights 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Melbourne Knights at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

What was the final score of Melbourne Srbija vs Melbourne Knights?

Melbourne Srbija 2-0 Melbourne Knights in the AVPL1 on 20/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Srbija vs Melbourne Knights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Srbija 25%, draw 26%, Melbourne Knights 48%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melbourne Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →