Mouloudia Oujda 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Morocco - Botola 2, 20 Jun 2026

📅20/06/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.33
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
23%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.33
No
55%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
31%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
39%
+5.3pp
33%
Draw
33%
-0.5pp
23%
Away Win
28%
-4.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
39%
+5.8pp
55%
BTTS No
61%
-5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mouloudia Oujda EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir EU Bookmakers 32%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -2%
1.39/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/0.92
+23% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
249 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mouloudia Oujda
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Chabab Ben Guerir
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
01.02.2026 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 HT 1-0 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS2
13.04.2025 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir 1-1 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda FAS2
30.11.2024 Mouloudia Oujda Mouloudia Oujda 0-2 Chabab Ben Guerir Chabab Ben Guerir FAS2
POST-MATCH Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mouloudia Oujda and Chabab Ben Guerir couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Mouloudia Oujda at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Chabab Ben Guerir led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mouloudia Oujda and 1.33 for Chabab Ben Guerir.

What was the final score of Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Mouloudia Oujda 1-1 Chabab Ben Guerir in the Morocco - Botola 2 on 20/06/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mouloudia Oujda vs Chabab Ben Guerir?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mouloudia Oujda win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Mouloudia Oujda 44%, draw 33%, Chabab Ben Guerir 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Mouloudia Oujda) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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