Bellinzona 0-3 Wil 1900 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 20 Jul 2024

Bellinzona
0-3 HT 1-1
Wil 1900
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Switzerland Challenge League – 2024/2025

Bellinzona vs Wil 1900 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 31% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
19%
X/X
19%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
30%
+0.5pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.2pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-3.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bellinzona v Wil 1900 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bellinzona EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Wil 1900 EU Bookmakers 48%
-11% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -30% / -33%
0.83/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/0.86
-30% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -46%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 348 · 79%
17.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.0
16.0 Crosses 18.5
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.0

Bellinzona vs Wil 1900 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bellinzona
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Wil 1900
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
0.83 xG 1.14
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
315 Passes 261
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
16 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
06.04.2024 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 4-1 HT 1-1 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
17.02.2024 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-0 HT 0-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
10.11.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 0-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2
23.07.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 0-2 HT 0-1 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
12.05.2023 Bellinzona Bellinzona 3-2 HT 2-0 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 İSV2
05.02.2023 Wil 1900 Wil 1900 3-0 HT 0-0 Bellinzona Bellinzona İSV2

Bellinzona 0-3 Wil 1900 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bellinzona
0-3
AWAY Wil 1900
1.85 xG 0.84
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 1
324 Passes 240
78% Pass Accuracy 71%
25 Box Touches 4
16 Crosses 5
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bellinzona vs Wil 1900
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wil 1900 cruised past Bellinzona 3-0 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (31% / 30% / 40%) promised a tight game; Wil 1900 found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bellinzona had 55% of the ball to Wil 1900's 45%, shots finished 12-5, expected goals 1.85 to 0.84 — on chances, Bellinzona could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Wil 1900 led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Bellinzona and 1.83 for Wil 1900.

What was the final score of Bellinzona vs Wil 1900?

Bellinzona 0-3 Wil 1900 in the Switzerland Challenge League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bellinzona vs Wil 1900?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wil 1900 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bellinzona 31%, draw 30%, Wil 1900 40%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wil 1900) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wil 1900) ✗ Under 2.5
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