KA Akureyri vs Vikingur R. Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
KA Akureyri v Vikingur R. — Team-Based Signals
KA Akureyri vs Vikingur R. Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-1
HT 1-0
KA Akureyri
İZK
0-4
HT 0-2
Vikingur R.
İZL
1-0
HT 0-0
KA Akureyri
İZL
2-2
HT 1-1
KA Akureyri
İZL
KA Akureyri 1-0 Vikingur R. — Actual Match Statistics
KA Akureyri squeezed past Vikingur R. 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Vikingur R. at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, KA Akureyri had 32% of the ball to Vikingur R.'s 68%, shots finished 8-17, expected goals 1.07 to 1.49 — the balance of chances actually favoured Vikingur R..
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vikingur R. led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for KA Akureyri and 2.50 for Vikingur R..
What was the final score of KA Akureyri vs Vikingur R.?
KA Akureyri 1-0 Vikingur R. in the Iceland - Urvalsdeild on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for KA Akureyri vs Vikingur R.?
Before kick-off our model rated an Vikingur R. win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split KA Akureyri 29%, draw 28%, Vikingur R. 44%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.