Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 Deportivo Riestra — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

📅20/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
28%
2.88
Away
27%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.44
Over 2.5
39%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
2.29
No
59%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
11%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
31%
-3.0pp
27%
Away Win
23%
+4.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
66%
-5.1pp
39%
Over 2.5
34%
+5.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.8pp
59%
BTTS No
60%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Belgrano Cordoba EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Riestra EU Bookmakers 26%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.05/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.28
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +134%
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
294 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 241 · 71%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
22.1 Crosses 17.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 5.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
17.04.2022 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJPBN
02.10.2021 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 1-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJPBN
10.06.2021 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 1-1 HT 0-0 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba ARJPBN
08.05.2019 Belgrano Cordoba Belgrano Cordoba 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra ARJK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Belgrano Cordoba
2-1
AWAY Deportivo Riestra
0.99 xG 0.34
72% Ball Possession 28%
12 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
429 Passes 119
80% Pass Accuracy 56%
34 Box Touches 5
25 Crosses 8
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Belgrano Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Belgrano Cordoba squeezed past Deportivo Riestra 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Belgrano Cordoba as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Belgrano Cordoba had 72% of the ball to Deportivo Riestra's 28%, shots finished 12-4, expected goals 0.99 to 0.34.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Belgrano Cordoba had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Belgrano Cordoba and 0.50 for Deportivo Riestra.

What was the final score of Belgrano Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra?

Belgrano Cordoba 2-1 Deportivo Riestra in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Belgrano Cordoba vs Deportivo Riestra?

Before kick-off our model rated a Belgrano Cordoba win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Belgrano Cordoba 45%, draw 28%, Deportivo Riestra 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Belgrano Cordoba) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ARJ More Argentina - Premier League
20 Jul 2024
03:00 Rosario Central vs CA Sarmiento Analysis →
21:00 San Lorenzo vs Huracan Analysis →
23:00 Racing Club vs Godoy Cruz Analysis →