Rosario Central 4-2 CA Sarmiento — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 20 Jul 2024

Rosario Central
4-2 HT 3-0
CA Sarmiento
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Rosario Central vs CA Sarmiento Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
36%
2.83
Away
26%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
73%
1.36
Over 2.5
27%
2.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
30%
2.44
No
70%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
48%
1.9
2-3 Goals
36%
1.88
4-5 Goals
10%
7.32
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 1.9 — our 48% vs market 45.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.12
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
15.65
X/1
21%
4.18
X/2
17%
7.03
X/X
19%
3.15
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
4%
6.45
2/X
6%
16.35
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-5.5pp
36%
Draw
32%
+4.0pp
26%
Away Win
24%
+1.6pp
73%
Under 2.5
70%
+3.0pp
27%
Over 2.5
30%
-3.0pp
30%
BTTS Yes
37%
-6.5pp
70%
BTTS No
63%
+6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Rosario Central v CA Sarmiento — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Sarmiento EU Bookmakers 28%
+1% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.39/0.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.23
+11% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +28%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
21.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
25.0 Crosses 17.3
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6

Rosario Central vs CA Sarmiento Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
2W-2D-2L
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.83 xG 1.61
62% Ball Possession 38%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
364 Passes 181
78% Pass Accuracy 64%
18 Box Touches 17
23 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.03.2023 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 4-1 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
09.07.2022 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 0-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
07.08.2021 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
02.04.2017 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento 2-2 HT 1-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
22.03.2016 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 1-0 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ
02.08.2015 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-1 HT 0-1 CA Sarmiento CA Sarmiento ARJ

Rosario Central 4-2 CA Sarmiento — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
4-2
AWAY CA Sarmiento
1.40 xG 0.41
64% Ball Possession 36%
14 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
405 Passes 190
80% Pass Accuracy 67%
19 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Rosario Central vs CA Sarmiento
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Rosario Central beat CA Sarmiento 4-2 in the Argentina - Premier League on 20 Jul 2024. Half-time: 3-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

It projected a tighter game, with under 2.5 goals at 73% and both teams scoring was against the odds at 30%.

On the day, Rosario Central had 64% of the ball to CA Sarmiento's 36%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 1.40 to 0.41.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours are even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Rosario Central and 1.33 for CA Sarmiento.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs CA Sarmiento?

Rosario Central 4-2 CA Sarmiento in the Argentina - Premier League on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs CA Sarmiento?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 38%, draw 36%, CA Sarmiento 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosario Central) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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