Bumprom 4-1 Lida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - 1st Division, 20 Jul 2024

Bumprom
4-1 HT 3-0
Lida
📅20/07/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
23%
3.18
Away
39%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.18
Over 2.5
60%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
No
40%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.2pp
23%
Draw
28%
-5.4pp
39%
Away Win
30%
+9.6pp
40%
Under 2.5
42%
-1.8pp
60%
Over 2.5
58%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bumprom EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Lida EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.73/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.60/1.18
+15% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / +25%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
341 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bumprom
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Lida
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 10
3 Corners 9
14.04.2023 Lida Lida 4-1 HT 1-1 Bumprom Bumprom BLR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bumprom
4-1
AWAY Lida
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 13
9 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bumprom vs Lida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bumprom cruised past Lida 4-1. Half-time: 3-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 23% / 39% — and on the day Bumprom made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) came in.

On the day, Bumprom had 55% of the ball to Lida's 45%, shots finished 20-13.

What was the final score of Bumprom vs Lida?

Bumprom 4-1 Lida in the Belarus - 1st Division on 20/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bumprom vs Lida?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lida win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Bumprom 38%, draw 23%, Lida 39%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lida) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lida) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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